The explosive growth of digital advertising this decade is being paced by mobile, online-originated video and social/word-of-mouth/conversational marketing. Combined, these three categories will increase from a 13% share of total 2012 digital marketing/advertising investment to a 41.5% share in 2020. Scroll down for additional commentary. Myers full economic data and forecasts for 52 advertising and marketing categories 2010-2020 is available to members/subscribers at www.jackmyers.com.
Jack Myers Media Business Report | ||
Official Marketing & Advertising Spending Data and Forecast | ||
2012-2020 | ||
(Not Including the Digital Revenues of TV Networks and | ||
Other Legacy Media Companies) | ||
ONLINE-ORIGINATED VIDEO ADVERTISING | ||
YEAR | $ | % Change |
2012 | 1,180 | 75.0 |
2013 | 2,007 | 70.0 |
2014 | 3,211 | 60.0 |
2015 | 4,816 | 50.0 |
2016 | 7,224 | 50.0 |
2017 | 9,752 | 35.0 |
2018 | 12,190 | 25.0 |
2019 | 15,238 | 25.0 |
2020 | 18,286 | 20.0 |
AVG Annual % Change 2013-2015 | 60.0 | |
AVG Annual % Change 2016-2020 | 31.0 | |
Source: Jack Myers Media Business Report © 2013 | ||
Jack Myers Media Business Report | ||
Official Marketing & Advertising Spending Data and Forecast | ||
2012-2020 | ||
MOBILE AND APP ADVERTISING | ||
YEAR | $ | % Change |
2012 | 2,303 | 80.0 |
2013 | 3,815 | 70.0 |
2014 | 5,873 | 50.0 |
2015 | 8,809 | 50.0 |
2016 | 12,773 | 45.0 |
2017 | 15,967 | 25.0 |
2018 | 19,160 | 20.0 |
2019 | 20,693 | 8.0 |
2020 | 23,176 | 12.0 |
AVG Annual % Change 2013-2015 | 56.7 | |
AVG Annual % Change 2016-2020 | 22.0 | |
Source: Jack Myers Media Business Report © 2013 | ||
Jack Myers Media Business Report | ||
Official Marketing & Advertising Spending Data and Forecast | ||
2012-2020 | ||
(not including display advertising) | ||
SOCIAL /WORD-OF-MOUTH/CONVERSATIONAL MARKETING | ||
YEAR | $ | % Change |
2012 | 3,300 | 32.0 |
2013 | 4,620 | 40.0 |
2014 | 6,237 | 35.0 |
2015 | 8,420 | 35.0 |
2016 | 10,946 | 30.0 |
2017 | 14,230 | 30.0 |
2018 | 17,787 | 25.0 |
2019 | 21,345 | 20.0 |
2020 | 24,546 | 15.0 |
AVG Annual % Change 2013-2015 | 36.7 | |
AVG Annual % Change 2016-2020 | 24.0 | |
Source: Jack Myers Media Business Report © 2013 | ||
Combined social, mobile and online-originated video advertising was $4.66 billion in 2012, according to Jack Myers Media Business Report data. Myers forecasts the three combined categories will increase to more than $66 billion in 2020. Below are data charts for each category sharing year-by-year advertising spending and annual increases. Myers distinguishes between online-originated video advertising and ad spending invested in digital video assets sold in connection with legacy media by companies such as Disney/ABC, CBS-TV, NBCU, Fox-TV, Conde Nast, New York Times and ESPN. Full details are available to subscribers for 52 media and marketing categories at www.jackmyers.com. For more knowledge contact Jack Myers at jm@jackmyers.com.
Source: Jack Myers Media Business Report, February 2013.
Media Advisory Corp, Jack Myers and employees accept no responsibility for any action(s) taken as a result of this forecast.
2013-2020 are estimates.
References: Barclays Capital, BIA/Kelsey, CAB, Carat, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank Equity Research, DMA, eMarketer, Goldman Sachs, GroupM, IAB, JPMorgan Chase, Kantar Research, Universal McCann/Magna Global, Morgan Stanley, MPA, Needham Research, Nielsen, PQ Media Alternative Media Research Series, PriceWaterhouseCoopers, RAB, TVB, UBS, Verona Suhler Stevenson Communications Industry Forecast, Wachovia, Wedbush, Zenith Optimedia, IAB PricewaterhouseCoopers.
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