New Ad Spending Forecast Released: Ad Spending Grows 4.1% in 2014; 2.1% Growth Forecast in 2015

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Ad Spending Grows 4.1% in 2014; 2.1% Growth Forecast in 2015

PRESS RELEASE
For release Monday December 15, 2014
For more information contact Jack Myers, jm@jackmyers.com 646-352-2636

 

Legacy Media Ad Spend to Decline -5.1% in 2015

MyersBizNet (www.myersbiznet.com) today released its 20th annual advertising spending data for 19 media categories, estimating 4.1% growth in total ad spending for 2014, declining to 2.1% growth in 2015. The MyersBizNet data is unique among forecasters in its reporting of both legacy and digital ad spending with television, print, out-of-home and radio media. Excluding digital media, MyersBizNet estimates advertising spend would have increased only 0.5% in 2014 with declines of -4.0% projected for 2015. Further exclusion of social/word-of-mouth and native advertising results in a 2014 downturn of -0.4% and -5.1% in 2015. MyersBizNet members will be receiving the full detailed report this week via e-mail and it is available to members at www.myersbiznet.com.

Broadcast network television legacy ad spending is estimated to have declined -0.6% in 2014, while digital ad spending with broadcast networks increased 22.0%, resulting in an overall increase of 1.3%, for a total $19.256 billion. Other leading forecasters and analysts typically measure only legacy ad spending, resulting in a significant under-reporting of actual spending in each media category.

Cable television networks generated 3.3% increases in 2014, reflecting 2.6% growth in legacy spending and 20% gains in digital ad spend. Network cable growth is forecast by MyersBizNet to slow considerably in 2015, with overall ad spending increases of only 0.7%, including 30% gains in cable network digital ad spend and a decline in cable network legacy ad spend of -0.8%.

Both newspaper and consumer magazine advertising declined significantly in 2014 but MyersBizNet forecasts that declines will slow in 2015, with both media offsetting some declines with 15.0% and 24.0% growth respectively in digital ad spend. Legacy newspaper advertising is estimated to have declined -9.0% in 2014 with consumer magazines’ legacy ad spend declining -9.2%. Overall newspaper ad spending shrunk by -5.1% and magazines by -6.2%. In 2015, total newspaper ad spend is projected to decline -3.2% and magazines by -2.7%. This slowdown in declines in a difficult year for advertising overall suggests that digital advertising growth, and especially digital video advertising, is growing at the expense of television.

MyersBizNet estimates online originated video content advertising grew 68.0% in 2014 and will increase another 60.0% to $3.7 billion in 2015. Online originated display advertising is estimated at $7.5 billion in 2014, reflecting 1.3% growth, with declines of 6.0% forecast for 2015. Mobile advertising grew 68% in 2014 to nearly $7.0 billion with 72.0% mobile advertising growth forecast for 2015.

According to the MyersBizNet report, radio advertising (legacy and digital) declined -2.1% in 2014 and is forecast to decline -1.8% in 2015. Out-of-home/place-based advertising (excluding digital place-based video and cinema) grew 0.1% in 2014 and is forecast to increase 3.3% next year.

Other media categories included in the MyersBizNet data include national and local spot television, local/regional cable TV, national broadcast syndication, digital place-based video, cinema, interactive/VOD/addressable advertising, internet originated audio, media directed social/promotion/sponsorships/native, branded entertainment/product placement, and videogame advertising. This data includes political, Olympics and World Cup spending.

MyersBizNet applies primary research and 20-years of market insights to the aggregated averages of data and forecasts provided by multiple analysts, media companies and agency forecasters. Our forecasts are based primarily on proprietary market intelligence. The full MyersBizNet data and forecasts includes historic data to 2000 and forward-looking forecasts to 2020. The report also includes Hispanic media and ten below-the-line promotion and shopper marketing categories.

Total below-the-line advertising is estimated to decline -3.0% in 2014 and 2.3% in 2015.

About MyersBizNet, Inc.

Through our unique experience, our extensive corporate member network and a 30-year history of leadership, MyersBizNet develops, leads and champions platforms that advance the health of your business, culture, communications and human resources.

MyersBizNet is dedicated to serving our community of more than 200 corporate members by:

  • tracking business trends and economic patterns,
  • identifying and sharing team-building best practices,
  • identifying disruptive technologies and emerging competitors,
  • developing and implementing business-to-business communications and marketing initiatives,
  • facilitating new business relationships and connections,
  • building communities and educational programs that enhance executive and employee effectiveness and loyalty,
  • recruiting and preparing the new wave of technologically savvy and diverse young people.

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