2015: So Here We Go

We humans think of time as linear so 2015 is five years or half way through this decade However the speed of change is ever accelerating This means that we have experienced about one third of the amount of total change of the decadeamp160 My forecast is that when we stand in 2020 and look back we will sense that the second half of the decade had about two thirds of the change of the total decade if in fact that could be measuredamp160 Thatamp8217s twice as much change in the next five years as there was in the last fiveamp160 That is the conservative estimateIn a column published on 010110 I named the 20102020 decade The Transformation Decadeamp160 That column blew up in the blogosphere and on Twitter and is referenced to this dayamp160 The dictionary definition of amp8220transformationamp8221 is amp8220a change in the nature shape character and formamp8221 of somethingamp160 Meaning that during this decade most of humanityamp8217s thinking and institutions will change their nature shape character or formThink about how much change you have experienced since 2010All of your communications technology is different Smart phone tablet lightweight laptop blue tooth technology in your car and all the various apps on your smart phone through which you navigate and communicate with the worldHow you consume media has probably noticeably changedamp160 In 2010 did you think you would be lying in bed or sitting on an airplane with a DVDless device in your hands watching a fulllength movieamp160 Did you binge watch TV episodes the way you do nowamp160 Did you subscribe to a streaming video service How about a streaming music serviceIf you are a reader of this blog you probably accepted that Climate Change and Global Warming were real and were a significant threat to humanity amp160However it has been since 2010 that the critical mass of people has come to accept these issues as real and dangerousDid you even know that there would be the Internet of Things That your environment would join your phone as being smart and connected Since 2010 we have entered the Era of Big Data one of the most transformative changes to society in historyamp160 Real time sociology and anthropology has begunDid you frequently use a camera video camera or portable music playeramp160 Did you have maps in your car books with restaurant reviews and travel informationamp160 Did you read all your books in printamp160 Did you mail in your bank deposits Well as the saying goes there is now an app for thatamp160 For almost everything there is an appamp160 Apps have increasingly become our portal to the worldThe list could go on and on as this decade has already been so transformativeamp160 These first five years have only been the foundation for the incredible amount of change that will occur in the next fiveamp160 The older you are the more you will feel a bit of disorientation in the years aheadamp160 You will feel like you would just like to stop take a breath and absorb and better learn and navigate all the change you have already experienced or been subjected toSorry but you will have to make that a very quick breathamp160 Change is pedal to the metal as they say in the auto business which now has a growing electric segment and the early beginnings of hydrogen fuel cell and driverless car technologiesThe speed of technological change now is the slowest it will be in your lifetimeAs stated at the beginning of this column humanity has long looked at time as linearamp160 We have conceived of time as a constant progression of same length days weeks months and yearsamp160 These will continue to be how we mark the passage of time on our calendarsamp160 The profound difference today from 100 50 20 or even 10 years ago is that change technological innovation accelerant connectivity on a global scale and disruptions in many aspects of our lives indicate that the meaning of the passage of time has and will changeamp160 We are beginning to look at our lives through the lens of amount of change experienced not the lens of the passage of timeWe are now much closer to 2025 than we are distant from the events of 91101amp160 We are basically equidistant from 2000 and 2030amp160 The amount of change we will experience even massive upheavals in the next 15 years will be some multiple of that which we have absorbed since the Millennium beganamp160 Hard to believe or accept but true2015 seems to be the beginning of a threshold passage from the old way of measuring our lives that is timebased to one that will be changebased All of our journeys are acceleratingSo here we goThe opinions and points of view expressed in this commentary are exclusively the views of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Media Village management or associated bloggersamp160amp160amp160

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2015: So Here We Go

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David Houle

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