Emmy Predictions, Part Two: “Glee” vs. “Modern Family”

amp160Continuing yesterdayamp8217s preview column what follows are my predictions and preferences in the Comedy and Reality categories in advance of the 62nd Primetime Emmy Awards which will be telecast on NBC Sunday night Iamp8217ll begin with Outstanding Comedy Series Just think If CBSamp8217 The Big Bang Theory had been nominated amp8211 as it should have been amp8211 there would be a nominee in this category from each of the Big Four broadcast networks In fact check out all the broadcast nominees included below Who says the Emmys are all about cableamp160Outstanding Comedy Seriesamp160Curb Your Enthusiasm HBOGlee FoxModern Family ABCNurse Jackie ShowtimeThe Office NBC30 Rock NBCamp160Prediction Gleeamp160Preference Modern Familyamp160ABCamp8217s sparkling freshman hit Modern Family really does deserve this award on account of it being the funniest comedy series on television during the Emmy qualification period and all but I just spent four weeks in Los Angeles and it was my observation that one canamp8217t walk into an entertainment industry event or hit a Hollywood hot spot without running into someone who overthemoon adores Glee so I have to assume that the momentum in the industry is so huge there is no way this show wonamp8217t win Plus it was just honored as Program of the Year and Outstanding New Program by the Television Critics Association and you canamp8217t beat that I have nothing against Glee but Iamp8217ll be thrilled if my prediction is proven wrongamp160Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Seriesamp160Alec Baldwin 30 Rock NBCSteve Carell The Office NBCLarry David Curb Your Enthusiasm HBOMatthew Morrison Glee FoxJim Parsons The Big Bang Theory CBSTony Shalhoub Monk USA Networkamp160Prediction Alec Baldwin 30 Rock or Tony Shalhoub Monkamp160Preference Jim Parsons The Big Bang Theoryamp160Tony Shalhoub already has three Emmys for his work in Monk while Alec Baldwin has two for 30 Rock making them obvious Academy favorites And since they were both as strong as ever last season I see no reasons why one of them wonamp8217t win again this year Baldwin has the industry momentum coming off two consecutive wins and because the now wildly uneven 30 Rock remains an industry darling but Shalhoub gave a powerful performance during the twopart Monk series finale so Iamp8217m calling this one a tossup As always Jim Parsons was way funnier than either of them but he has never been honored by the Academy so Iamp8217m not holding out much hopeamp160Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Seriesamp160Toni Collette United States of Tara ShowtimeTina Fey 30 Rock NBCEdie Falco Nurse Jackie ShowtimeJulia LouisDreyfus The New Adventures of Old Christine CBSLea Michele Glee FoxAmy Poehler Parks and Recreation NBCamp160Prediction and Preference Edie Falco Nurse Jackieamp160Iamp8217d say Showtime can look forward to a win in this category because if Toni Collette doesnamp8217t take home a second consecutive award for her outrageously demanding role of a woman with multiple personalities then Edie Falco ought to get it for her portrayal of a harried wife mother nurse mistress and drug addict Iamp8217m going with Falco because she has done something I didnamp8217t think possible with her work on Nurse Jackie amp8211 she has shoved aside without compromising all memories of her careerdefining role as Carmela Soprano amp160Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Seriesamp160Ty Burrell Modern Family ABCChris Colfer Glee FoxJon Cryer Two and a Half Men CBSJesse Tyler Ferguson Modern Family ABCNeil Patrick Harris How I Met Your Mother CBSEric Stonestreet Modern Family ABCamp160Prediction Eric Stonestreet Modern Familyamp160Preference Ty Burrell Modern Familyamp160My prediction that Eric Stonestreet will take home the award is based on nothing more than the fact that his performance in Modern Family is almost as over the top as Jane Lynchamp8217s in Glee and she seems to be everyoneamp8217s choice for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series But the truth is I havenamp8217t a clue which actor is going to receive the award Iamp8217d like to see Ty Burrell win for his perfect portrayal of a perfect idiot but any one of these guys could take it including last yearamp8217s surprise winner Jon Cryer or multitalented scenestealer Chris Colfer often the heart and soul of Glee And then thereamp8217s Neil Patrick Harris who received two Emmys at last weekamp8217s Creative Emmys ceremony one for hosting last yearamp8217s Tony Awards the other for his guest stint on Glee and is clearly much adored by voting members of the Academy of Television Arts ampamp Sciencesamp160Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Seriesamp160Julie Bowen Modern Family ABCJane Krakowski 30 Rock NBCJane Lynch Glee FoxHolland Taylor Two and a Half Men CBSSofia Vergara Modern Family ABCKristen Wiig Saturday Night Live NBCamp160Prediction Jane Lynch Gleeamp160Preference Julie Bowen Modern Familyamp160Check it out Each of the Big Four networks has a nominee in this categoryamp160Moving on amp8211 only an idiot would bet against Jane Lynch here but if it were up to me Julie Bowen would take home the award Nothing against the phenomenon that is Ms Lynch but Bowen has been a revelation right from the start as the straight woman surrounded by colorful characters who more than holds her own while unexpectedly earning her share of laughs amid the merry madness of her familyamp8217s modern misadventures As far as I can recall the last actress who successfully pulled that off to such grand effect was Mary Tyler Moore on her classic Seventies sitcomamp160Outstanding Reality Competition Seriesamp160The Amazing Race CBSAmerican Idol FoxDancing with the Stars ABCProject Runway LifetimeTop Chef Bravoamp160Prediction and Preference The Amazing Raceamp160I canamp8217t argue with the fact that The Amazing Race is a marvel of modern television production but after seven consecutive wins amp8211 and with no end to its supremacy in sight amp8211 I sometimes wish the Academy would just hand it some kind of Ultimate Emmy and free up this category Then again I have trouble thinking of the other four contenders in this category as especially awardworthy so I guess Iamp8217m okay with an eighth triumph for CBSamp8217 global competition masterpiece Had CBSamp8217 Survivor or Foxamp8217s So You Think You Can Dance been nominated I might feel otherwiseamp160Outstanding Variety Music or Comedy Seriesamp160The Colbert Report Comedy CentralThe Daily Show Comedy CentralReal Time with Bill Maher HBOSaturday Night Live NBCThe Tonight Show with Conan Oamp8217Brien NBCamp160Prediction The Daily Showamp160Preference The Tonight Show with Conan Oamp8217Brienamp160Iamp8217m just indulging myself here The Daily Show is clearly the best of this bunch and I hope the Academy upholds its standards But how much fun would it be to see Conan Oamp8217Brien receive an Emmy live on NBC six months after the network screwed him over and two months before he returns to late night television on TBS For what itamp8217s worth I thought Oamp8217Brienamp8217s version of Tonight was awful except for those last couple of weeks when host and staff alike turned their guns in the direction of their soontobe former employer But Iamp8217d still like to see him get an Emmy and hear what he has to say about it

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Emmy Predictions, Part Two: “Glee” vs. “Modern Family”

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Ed Martin

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Emmy Predictions, Part Two: “Glee” vs. “Modern Family”

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